Saturday, March 31, 2018

Roseanne in Trump Country - Let's use that and talk about the issues

In Trump Country


By Marc Bochner

Liberals have lost their minds over Roseanne Conner being a Trump supporter. Take a breath and consider the opportunity this affords us as progressives. The opportunity to have the conversations Democrats have avoided for 25 years. Conversations that could help move the Democratic party back to the left and bring working class republicans with them.


If we are being honest, aren't the Conners likely Trump supporters? Hard working blue collar family in the midwest, almost lost everything including their home in the economic collapse. They have their daughter move back home out of economic necessity and are even forced to take less than prescribed doses of their meds because they can't afford the copays even with Obamacare. They certainly couldn't be blamed if they have lost faith in their government and the power brokers inside the government. Isn't that what many of the Trump voters told pollsters and journalists since the election? That they needed to believe that somebody could help them and were willing to take a chance on an outsider who promised to bring back jobs, shake things up and drain the swamp. Now even if they are starting to feel they have been duped, they are still rooting for the President to succeed, because if he fails we all fail.


Regardless of what you think about Roseanne Barr personally, The brilliance of the writing is that they are providing the American people and leaders an opportunity to have the conversations that we need to be having about the rigged economy, about hyper-partisanship that are tearing families and friendships apart and what 25 years of two corporate parties dominating our government has done to the labor vote. These are conversations lefties should welcome, because its the best path back to a people's party and populist policies actually having advocates in positions of power. It's a real chance to restore both democracy and the American dream. But it starts with us listening to each other rather than blind party loyalty, blaming, name calling and vote shaming each other in the absence of facts and policy. This truly isnt about whether or not you like Trump, it's about forcing Democrats to stop blaming everyone but themselves for losing entire voting blocks and look at what they have done and changed in policy to lose their loyalty and fail to generate any excitement for those who stay home without voting. They don't give voters anything to vote for, merely against, and even then not enough contrast from what they are asking people to vote against on actual policy.


The likelihood is that Trump lied about all of his economic rhetoric with what was clearly poll-tested talking points provided by Cambridge Analytica. But Trump had the good fortune of running against the candidate most associated with the job-killing free trade agreements so it didn't take much for those who have been crushed by our economy to roll the dice and hope Trump would deliver on any of those promises like getting us out of NAFTA, holding China accountable for unfair trade practices and killing the TPP. So far it's not looking good on those promises as Trump filled his cabinet with neocons and the same wall street figures who helped rig the economy for the rich against everyone else to begin with. He gave massive permanent tax cuts to the rich, has been rewriting an even more toxic version of the TPP into the rewrite of NAFTA and further deregulating wallstreet/ banking. Plus he has been a lose cannon and absolutely wrong on social issues.



Roseanne reboot gets political - Washington Post



The Conners have always represented struggling blue-collar workers from the heartland… you know what is now referred to as Trump country. But lets remember that many of those areas Trump won they used to be labor and Democratic strongholds. Many who now vote with Republicans used to be Democrats... like the Conners... Like Roseanne Barr. Remember the show ended the first time with the employees taking over their factory even.


After getting wiped out on nearly all levels of government and seeing two of the most unqualified people ever elected to oval office, the Democrats still refuse to look at their labor problem, and how they failed one of their biggest voting blocks, instead focusing on blaming everyone and everything but policy for why hard working Americans now vote against them and why that has led to losses up and down the ballot for Democrats.




What changed in the 90s to put the labor vote in play?


In 1992  the Clintons swept into office promising to bring big money donors over to the Democratic party, proclaiming they were the new Democrats who would usher in permanent Democratic control. Well, they did indeed get the big money corporate donors who now fund both the Democrats and the Republicans. To succeed and be supported in the Democratic party you are now required to be a big fundraiser, not necessarily a popular public figure.

In exchange for all this corporate cash they helped take down Glass Steagall wall street and banking regulations that kept our economy safe since the Great Depression and then did what Reagan and Bush tried but couldn't get done, pass the free trade agreements (NAFTA and Normalized Free Trade with China). Collectively these moves have devastated not only the country but the Democratic party as well.


The trade agreements which were desired by the corporate wing of both parties led to massive job losses as entire factories shut down and moved overseas along with the outsourcing of nearly all jobs that didn't have to stay (call centers, data entry, manufacturing, etc.)  As jobs with living wages left the country entire communities were destroyed, wages stagnated for the jobs that didn't leave, and benefits got stripped away.


So now policies like Free Trade, deregulation, militarization and polluting the environment are policies of both corporate Democrats and corporate Republicans. The Clintons in ushering in this big shift were the ones who took away the opposition party to all of those policies thereby taking away any meaningful choice on the big issues. This is when blue collar workers stopped voting blindly for the Democratic party who seemed to abandon them on issues and were left searching for anybody to earn their votes by making their lives better. Largely both parties have failed to even fight for labor when in power and thus that vote has been fluid and in play with both parties pointing at each other rather than championing policies to fix what ails us.



Following the flight of the labor vote from 2000 - 2016 and how 3rd parties and voters were blamed to avoid policy change that would upset the donors.


In 2000 those “jobs” voters bailed on Gore who they blamed for free trade and globalization as part of the Clinton Administration. Much of the focus has been on Florida where Ralph Nader got 97,000 votes and Gore lost by 537 votes. Well if we look farther into those numbers, of the 97K to vote for Nader only 24K of them were Democrats. Still more than enough to make up the 537 vote gap. But wait exit polling tells a different story. When asked if Nader was not on the ballot who they would have voted for, more people said Bush than Gore, so Bush would have won by more not less if you take Nader off the ballot. Take this even further and notice that 308K Democrats voted for Bush in Florida alone (a pattern that was repeated in all high labor states crushed by free trade). Since those are both votes against Gore and votes for Bush that's a 616K vote swing, which is a much bigger number than anything we have discussed so far. Exit polling showed that most of those Democrats who switched to Bush did so because of jobs and the economy (jobs they lost to outsourcing). This was all broken down Daily Kos article The Ralph Nader Myth




But this still doesn't tell the whole story, Gore lost both his home state and Clintons home state. He also lost New Hampshire and Oregon where he ran a right-wing campaign and exit polling again showed that Democrats had crossed over to Bush in large enough numbers to swing those states for Bush. The Nader votes in those states were found to have favored Bush over Gore again had Nader not been on the ballot. This was all broken down on the Alternet article  Why Nader is NOT to blame. Yet if you ask Democrats or the corporate media, they will tell you it was Nader. And thus we moved on from that election with blame and no policy discussion setting us up for more of the same in the election cycles to come.



George W. Bush promised jobs, Gore was linked to the reason jobs were leaving so the labor vote left the Democratic party and are now play. The labor vote came back to the Democrats in 2008 when they overcame a large number of Hillary voters who crossed to vote for McCain and delivered the win for Hope and Change. By 2008 George W Bush and the Republicans were sharing the blame for expanding Free Trade and further hurting labor.


By 2012 Labor was again questioning who deserved their vote as Obama failed to deliver or even fight for a living wage or to unwind the job-killing free trade. He even backed his own Free Trade agreement the TPP called by some NAFTA on steroids. They may have left Obama in 2012, but he was running against Romney who in a secret video told millionaire donors that “47 percent who are with him (Obama), who are dependent upon government, who believe that they are victims, who believe the government has a responsibility to care for them, who believe that they are entitled to health care, to food, to housing, to you-name-it.” They of course took this personally as it seemed an attack directly on them and mischaracterization of their situation. And who made up a large portion of those voters? You guessed it, the same working-class voters who had been crushed by Free Trade and had become dependent upon government to help sustain them as a result. So they stuck with Obama as the lesser evil that year but voted republican everywhere else on the ballot.




Next, we get to 2016 in which the Democrats have still blamed everyone but their policies for being wiped out on all levels of government because they still have never been forced to look at why their base fractured with free trade and their abandoning the working class. Had they learned this lesson, clearly, they would have understood what primary polling was telling them and what Michael Moore was warning, workers who have been crushed by Free Trade have still not forgiven the Clintons and probably never will.


Hillary Campaign ignored Bernie Supporters' offer to help? After the primary was over, Bernie Sanders supporters tried to help the Hillary Clinton campaign. The Hillary camp was not interested. Cenk Uygur, host of The Young Turks, breaks it down.



Moore warned that the working class in the Midwest, where the election was ultimately decided saw Hillary as the greater evil, not lesser. She helped sell free trade when Bill was President, She helped write and sell TPP when Obama was in office and Trump was promising to get us out of NAFTA, hold China accountable for unfair trade practices and to kill TPP. Well anyone who was paying attention to Trump's personal business practice of outsourcing jobs would have understood these were campaign lies, but Hillary as the queen of free trade couldn't engage Trump in that policy discussion. And thus that critical labor vote went enough for Trump to swing turn close wins into losses and swing the electoral college. Of course they will be disappointed by Trump policies, but every President and congress for Decades has disappointed. And again he was running against Hillary Clinton, so that vote was Trump's to lose, she in the eyes of many will always be the greater evil.


Once Hillary predictably lost the labor vote and with it, the Midwest and other critical states a populist Democrat would have won, the Democrats ran back to an old go to, avoid looking at why the voters left and blame 3rd party candidate Jill Stein for the tiny slice of the votes she got after they spent the general election running against her (Johnson and the memory of Nader as they did Trump). They even blamed Sanders who held way more of his primary voters together for Clinton than Clinton did for Obama (25% of the Clinton primary voters voted for McCain while only 12% of the Sanders voters voted for Trump and that 12% was largely the labor vote for Sanders while Hillary’s 25% was largely party loyalists). The PUMA - pro-Clinton, anti-Obama vote (mockingly referred to as Party Unity My Ass) is described by Progressive Army in the article Revenge of the PUMAs



Can Rosaanne get us talking about how to make American great again? Not in talking points, but in policy and real populism?



The gift of Roseanne Conner saying that jobs were the reason she supported Trump is that perhaps now Democrats and those who follow them blindly will have to look at and have the conversation with labor about what it will take to bring them home to the Democrats. With the Roseanne Conner character being someone many of those labor Trump voters can relate to, if she continues to talk about Trump and what he is or isn't actually doing to affect their lives, she may well be the perfect person to bridge the unbridgeable divide in this country and talk directly to the people who gave us George W Bush, Trump, and Republicans on all levels of government. She can speak to voters who used to vote Democrat as well as poor working class Republicans.


She can finally address the elephant in the room… why do Bernie Sanders and far left progressives poll better with Trump voters than conservative corporate Democrats and why are their policies some of the most popular policies in the country crossing party lines? Clearly Democrats still don't understand this or want to as they have continued to talk about the way to winning being running middle right corporate democrats in Trump country, so long as they have a good story like a military background and tick off at least one identity politics box like race, gender or sexual orientation.


This isn't a left-right thing, it never was. This is a populism vs corporatism issue. Whoever convinces the voters they will fight for them on the issues will win the labor vote. Populism is also the pathway to millennials as Sanders was by far the most popular with millennials. The millennials are getting more and more engaged. As they vote in larger numbers their power to affect policy grows. So next time you read or hear liberal talking heads talk about how you can win Trump voters by running middle right democrats in red or purple districts, know they are either lying to you or are so entrenched in their bubble, they have no idea how absurd and tone-deaf that notion is.




Both corporate parties will resist populism, create false narratives in the media, rig the process, cheat the voters and try to hold onto power. But people are waking up by the millions. The Sanders revolution inspired millions of progressives to challenge entrenched incumbents. The Parkland kids have inspired their generation of soon to be voters to get engaged and not for party, on an issue and policy. Keep talking about how you can make their lives better and restore the American dream on other issues and there is yet another trove of voters to help usher in change. The tide is turning and conversations like those hopefully we will see in the Conner household will help move the conversation to policy and away from blind team/ party loyalty. In the meantime, we can also be having these conversations with our family, friends, and co-workers on the issues we agree on instead of only focusing on the unbridgable divides (the blame game devoid of policy).

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Saturday, March 24, 2018

Cambridge Analytica shows its criminal enterprise, not a foreign government stealing our Democracy.

By Marc Bochner

How the Media frames a story determines the narrative more so than the story itself. Remember a couple months ago when the big story was the indictment of 13 employees at a Russian click bait advertising company for interfering with our election and helping elect Trump? It's said they did this by posting ineffective memes, forming facebook pages on all sides of all issues and putting together protests and rallies with turnouts in the single digits? Russia Russia Russia was the lead story everywhere, every day... see Russia did it.


Well now with the Cambridge Analytica story they actually found a company that data trolled and stole the information of as many as 230 million Americans. They engaged in election meddling and actually worked for Trump while being funded by rich Trump supporter Richard Mercer. The story goes that they had been working on a program to come up with talking points that would incite and motivate voters on the alt-right by knowing just what buttons to push. They started doing this in 2014, before Trump had even announced he would be running.


The Guardian newspaper interviewed whistleblower Christopher Wylie for its article The Cambridge Analytica Files I made Steve Bannon's Psychological warfare tool': meet the data war whistleblower
From the article:
In 2014, Steve Bannon – then executive chairman of the “alt-right” news network Breitbart – was Wylie’s boss. And Robert Mercer, the secretive US hedge-fund billionaire and Republican donor, was Cambridge Analytica’s investor. And the idea they bought into was to bring big data and social media to an established military methodology – “information operations” – then turn it on the US electorate.
By that time, Steve Bannon had become Trump’s chief strategist. Cambridge Analytica’s parent company, SCL, had won contracts with the US State Department and was pitching to the Pentagon, and Wylie was genuinely freaked out. “It’s insane,” he told me one night. “The company has created psychological profiles of 230 million Americans. And now they want to work with the Pentagon? It’s like Nixon on steroids.”
He ended up showing me a tranche of documents that laid out the secret workings behind Cambridge Analytica. And in the months following publication of my article in May (2017), it was revealed that the company had “reached out” to WikiLeaks to help distribute Hillary Clinton’s stolen emails in 2016. And then we watched as it became a subject of special counsel Robert Mueller’s investigation into possible Russian collusion in the US election

Notice the way a corporate malfeasance was immediately spun into the Russiagate narrative and included in the Meuller investigation? But Cambridge Analytica was not a Russian company, it was a London based company under the direction of the American alt-right and funded by a secretive Republican billionaire donor. It's not a foreign government attempting to disrupt or have an influence on our election. This story is about a criminal enterprise, hired by the billionaire class to elect a puppet that would do anything they wanted to further entrench the oligarchy, get more money into the military-industrial complex, cut taxes for the rich and deregulate business. They found their liar with so little knowledge of how things or even the world works that they wouldn't ever have to worry about his opinions getting in the way of their agenda.


Nobody will ever know how effectively this targeted psychological warfare influenced who people voted for, but it certainly helped to motivate conservatives to vote. While they also helped to distribute the wikileaks emails which showed that the party had rigged the primaries for her against Bernie Sanders and that on issue after issue she said one thing while championed very different positions. They were distributing this largely to people who already didnt like her on the right. In the meantime it was progressive activists, journalists and groups that distributed this information to the progressive left.

Furthermore there has never been any proof that Russia even had a role in providing this information as none has ever been provided, while Wikileaks has stated that the information was provided by an individual and not a state actor. Former intelligence agents who specialized in information technology have stated definitively that the metadata proves the information had to have been acquired as a leak from someone at the DNC server not a hack as the transfer speeds could only have been reached on a transfer to an external drive and were way outside of speeds possible over the internet (ruling out a hack)


Remember the rich and corporations would have won with either Clinton or Trump. With Hillary they would have gotten incremental change in their direction, but no resistance party, while with Trump they got big bold action to further rig the system and economy for them but a resistance. The people behind hiring Cambridge Analytica wanted more than to simply keep the oligarchy in place, their goal went further to further divide people around issues of race, gender, sexual orientation, and religion. They wanted a puppet who they could direct not just to a conservative economic agenda, but could manipulate into validating the narratives of the alt-right along the way.


So Trump was their guy. Now all they had to do is get him past the 2nd most unpopular and mistrusted person to ever run for President. What a gift they got after she was caught cheating and insulting half her potential base. Over the years she has been one of the people most associated with the free trade agreements that destroyed labor in the US, outsourced countless millions of jobs, crushed and stagnated wages for those lucky enough to still have jobs and sent one of the most reliable voting blocks of the Democratic base (labor) looking for a new home for their votes.  This was a golden opportunity to get the most unelectable person ever to run into office if they could simply motivate their base and convince enough of the labor vote to come with them. The Midwest states that decided the election seemed to prove that labor was indeed still hostile toward the Clintons and the Trump talking points against the TPP would show enough of a contrast. Alas the unelectable was suddenly electable, not because people loved or believed in him, but because he ran against someone more disliked and distrusted by labor than him.


It was all lined up... she was incapable of holding the labor vote because of a lifetime of globalism and anti-labor policies. She then cheated and insulted millennials calling them baristas living in their parent's basement (a reality given she had helped to rig the economy against their generation). Then as the progressive left had finally started talking about policy, she ran the campaign most devoid of policy in recorded history, giving people no reasons to vote for her, instead focusing her campaign on insulting and bullying everyone to vote for her because of her gender and accusing anyone who wouldn't blindly follow her a sexist and misogynist.


Remember she ran this campaign at a time when people were talking more about issues and policy than they had in decades. When you are someone like Hillary with speeches that don't match your record or policy positions, all this talk of policy from the voters on the left was not helpful for her. Try as they did, her supporters within the media and the Democratic party structure couldn't simply write it all off as Bernie and his supporters being mean to Hillary or perpetuating right-wing smears against her. It was her record and lies on full display as progressive activists discussed her record and the revelations shown in wikileaks. The alt-right was talking to their voters and the progressive left was talking to its voters, and for both social media was the primary platform since the corporate media was protecting the oligarchy on both sides of the aisle through omission.


Russiagate was born at first to discredit the verifiably authentic emails that were being leaked confirming that Hillary was every bit as dishonest and hypocritical as they already believed (lets face it, those who are still with her, simply don't want to admit that they have spent more than 25 years supporting and gushing over the Clintons and no amount of facts was going to change that). After the election, they went back to the Russiagate narrative because there was an even bigger catch to be had... censoring social media and the internet using Russian election meddling as justification. Remember social media and the internet are where both the progressive left and the alt-right communicate with those friendly to their agendas. The corporate elite have shut down any channels we use to communicate with and inform each other. If they fail then its only a matter of time before the people reclaim the government, democracy, and the economy which has enslaved most of the poor and middle class for the past 40 years.


So taking a long view of the 2016 campaign with all the post-election twists and turns, its clear that Trump would not have won against Sanders or any Democrat or lefty with a record of fighting on issues like the rigged economy, pro-labor, environmental regulation or any policies that uplifted the poor and middle class, provided more opportunity and increased their quality of life.  It took somebody as disliked and distrusted as Hillary Clinton, with a record of placing the wants of her donors ahead of the needs of the voters. No matter how motivated Cambridge Analytica got the alt-right, their games were not working on the left and left-leaning voting blocks and they didn't need to. We were talking to each other, talking about her record and talking about how she had cheated us and sharing facts which reminded us who she is and that she has never cared about us or the issues we told her were important to us. Hillary was maybe the only one who could have helped create the perfect storm of circumstances to get Trump elected.




Comedian and progressive journalist Lee Camp from Redacted Tonight on the RT America network talks about not only the many ways in which our system has been corrupted but also breaks down the Cambridge Analytica story. It is a story he first started talking about over a year ago, while the mainstream media now pretends it's breaking news and attempt to reframe it to fit the "Russia is hacking our democracy" narrative rather than what it truly is, corporate corruption manipulating voters to fall in line. 


We can still win this battle. But nobody ever said it would be easy or that the rich and powerful who have had their boots on our throats for more than 40 years would give up power easily. Register to vote, demand that each candidate both tell you and show you who they are and what they will fight for, then vote for someone who earned your vote. When people talk about and show you election fraud, don't dismiss them as conspiracy theorists, let them show you and if you are convinced fight for justice, fight for democracy... fight against corruption, even when the networks, cable news, and the legacy publications tell you there is nothing to see here. Remember they are owned by the very people who risk losing power and the economy back to you.

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Saturday, March 17, 2018

The real lesson of the recent special elections is not about Trump hate or Party loyalty


by Marc Bochner

Inside the Pennsylvania 18th congressional district special election victory. I know we have all heard the media framing about what a huge upset this race was, but are they missing all the most important takeaways? Donald Trump won here by more than 20% against Hillary Clinton in 2016... so slam dunk for the Republican right? Well not so fast, There are 35,000 more registered democrats than republicans in this district... But it has trended Republican since the mid 1990s. How could that be and what happened in the mid 90s?

This is a heavily industrial district, so one could infer that a populist labor agenda would play well here... and it did. So why did Hillary lose so badly in a district which has more Dems and a lot of labor? For the same reason that this district started trending Republican in the mid 90s... Bill Clinton. He and his administration pushed and passed free trade agreements that crushed labor, outsourced jobs, held down wages and destroyed communities like those in this district. (Free Trade killed this entire midwest region economically in fact)

The Clinton's push for globalization and free trade has turned much of the labor vote over to Republicans. This is why Gore lost in 2000, its why Dems have been wiped out in nearly all levels of government and why there is such a divide within the Democratic party today. The corporate Dems seized control of the Democratic party in the 90s then handed it over to the same corporate donors who were funding the Republicans. They then created a false choice in American politics where the poor, middle class, labor, peace activists and environmental activists were all left without either party representing them. These formerly reliable Democratic voting blocks have been fluid ever since, searching for where to give their votes. Since neither major party is earning their votes with policy only promises, they can't be relied on to support party, but run an anti labor candidate like Hillary Clinton and you can be sure, your candidate will be seen as the greater evil. They are the true swing voters, but nobody is saying so. Because the narrative is that Dems own these voters and then they bully and shame them to fall in line... but they don't respond to threats smears and bullying, they respond to policy. George W Bush sold them on being a compassionate conservative, then failed them badly, next Obama promised hope and change which turned out to be more of the same and still failed them badly. Along comes Trump promising the end of TPP and making America Great Again... another lie and another fail.

So moving forward Conner Lamb made specific promises to the industries in his district and won. It wasn't a big democratic win nor a message of Trump resistance. It played the same way as the Doug Jones race, promise to be something different than the garbage currently representing them, run against and amazingly flawed opponent and the voters are desperate enough to give you a shot... fail and you send those voters back on the hunt for someone who understands their issues and will prioritize them over donors.

I can't state this often enough... these swing voters are largely the labor vote... they are the American workers who have been abandoned by both major parties. Its not race, age or gender thing, it's workers struggling in a rigged economy thing. These voters who may not have been with Bernie Sanders and the progressive wing of the Democratic party in 2015 were definitely approaching all in as it became clear who was fighting for and against them. Then when Dems were caught installing the Queen of Free Trade (who will never win their votes), they started looking at Trump who was lying, but using populist rhetoric stolen from Sanders stump speeches. This is also where the divide within the Democratic party started to take root.

No matter who a Clinton is running against, to labor, the Clinton's and anyone associated with them will always be the greater evil and thus in a heavy labor district which was devastated by free trade, the 20 point spread wasn't a red/ blue thing, it was an anti Clinton thing... precisely what Michael Moore was trying to warn the Dems was happening in the mid west during the primaries which they ignored because it was her turn don't you know?

That's the lesson for the Democrats, but will they learn it? Not likely since to corporate Democrats who control the party and the media narratives have already been spreading the wrong take away. They are saying that the model to winning all over Trump country is middle right corporate candidates and identity politics (the very same strategy that has contributed to the party being wiped out on nearly all levels of government. New York Magazine put it this way

there are a lot of Conor Lambs out there. Very early in the election cycle, Democrats recruited candidates with nontraditional backgrounds, especially in the military, who would appeal to voters in red districts. “A rough profile of [Democrats’] ideal candidate has started to emerge: veterans, preferably with small business experience too,” reported Politico last April. “They’d like as many of them to be women or people who’ve never run for office before — and having young children helps.”

The tone deafness is off the charts... still. They are less interested in providing candidates who represent the people on the issues and more interested in finding a way to convince voters to vote for a candidate profile and good story. They are not interested in an agenda that unrigs the economy, puts workers first, pays a living wage, provides healthcare for everyone (not just access for those who can afford to pay for it), protection from corporate greed, free public college/relief from crushing student loan debt and a planet that will be livable for their children and grandchildren.  If you listen to them those positions are too liberal and can't win in red and purple states even though polling doesn't support that claim with all of those positions polling very popular, especially with the demographics they need to win (Labor and millennials).

You don't win them with more of the same, you win them with candidates who show they understand how government has failed them and specifically how they will fight for them to have a better life. That's not Trump hate or Party loyalty, that's an agenda that values people over money.

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